America has one major weakness. This weakness goes beyond the commander in chief and the military leadership. Every single one of us in the western world has this weakness and it may be the downfall of our civilization as we know it.

To understand what this weakness is, go back 64 years to early December 1944.  The Allies, poised on the German border, were re-supplying themselves, resting from some horrible battles, and generally leaving the Germans alone for the winter. 

Early one frosty morning Ike invited Omar Bradley to his headquarters to discuss the allied situation along the front. Between the two of them, two of the best logical military minds our country has ever produced…between the two of them, they decided, after reviewing the whole situation and much discussion, that even though the Americans were weak at the Ardennes Forest section of the front, Hitler would never mount a counterattack through the Ardennes because the forest presented almost impossible conditions.   

Eisenhower knew that the Germans could not supply and support a major offensive on the winter roads in the Ardennes. Additionally, Eisenhower and Bradley felt that the newly formed Volksgrenadier divisions were not capable of offensive action in the winter. And thirdly, they knew, as military commanders, that the German military leadership knew how risky an offensive through the Ardennes would be. They knew that it would open the German army up for complete annihilation from the sides. So, at the end of the day, they both agreed that it would be a strategic mistake for the Germans to counter attack through the Ardennes.

Both Eisenhower and Bradley were absolutely correct. Their thinking was militarily sound. And every German officer on the other side of the Ardennes agreed with them. There was only one problem. Hitler did not agree with them. Eisenhower’s major error, which cost the Allies thousands of casualties, was that he did not take into account that the leader of Germany was a crazy, desperate lunatic. If he had looked at the situation from Hitler’s point of view, he would have come to a different conclusion.

What is the lesson in this 64 year old story? It is that we cannot make any conclusions about the enemies plans without understanding that they are crazy. Crazy with desperation, crazy with commitment to our destruction, crazy with hate…. If we do not begin to get inside the insanity of those that are trying to kill us, we will never be able to defend ourselves from their attacks.

I hope our military leadership knows this. I hope there are defensive plans out there built on the premise that our enemies are lunatics.  I hope Israel understands this point.  I hope there are agencies getting inside the heads of the leaders of Iran, North Korea, China, Hezbollah...well, you get the picture.  If not, well...Silence of the Lambs on a global scale….

God Help Us.

But stupidly, (knowing they had no intelligence), the intelligence gurus sent their intelligence reports up to the top military commanders, and even more stupidly, (knowing there was no intelligence), the top military commanders read the intelligence reports and believed them. 

On Dec 16, 1944, 21^st Army Group’s intelligence summary read—“The enemy … cannot stage major offensive operations.” The only problem was that on that very day, Germany was attacking the American lines at the Ardennes forest with the biggest, strongest offensive push they had ever used against the American forces. In what was to become known as the Battle of the Bulge, the Americans were caught completely off guard and suffered tremendous losses as the Germans pushed their way westward towards the Atlantic port of Antwerp.